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Signals Roundup: December 2025 – 15 Weak Signals That Stood Out

Signals Roundup: December 2025 – 15 Weak Signals That Stood Out

  • Post author:Filip Lapiński
  • Post published:February 4, 2026
  • Post category:Methods & Signals

15 Weak Signals Shaping the Next Decade of Business and Society Discover 15 emerging weak signals that will reshape strategy, operations, and policy — get

Continue ReadingSignals Roundup: December 2025 – 15 Weak Signals That Stood Out
Signals Roundup: November 2025 – 15 Weak Signals That Stood Out

Signals Roundup: November 2025 – 15 Weak Signals That Stood Out

  • Post author:Filip Lapiński
  • Post published:February 3, 2026
  • Post category:Methods & Signals

Preparing for Future Signals: A Practical Playbook for Teams Turn weak signals into actionable strategy: identify, cluster, and act on emerging trends with

Continue ReadingSignals Roundup: November 2025 – 15 Weak Signals That Stood Out
Scorecard: Grading Our Predictions Fairly

Scorecard: Grading Our Predictions Fairly

  • Post author:Filip Lapiński
  • Post published:February 2, 2026
  • Post category:Methods & Signals

Building a Robust Prediction Scorecard for Future Forecasts Design a reliable prediction scorecard to measure forecast accuracy, fairness, and uncertainty

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Timelines That Don’t Lie: Date Your Claims

Timelines That Don’t Lie: Date Your Claims

  • Post author:Filip Lapiński
  • Post published:February 1, 2026
  • Post category:Methods & Signals

Start dating claims today Make every claim provable: add verifiable timestamps, immutable evidence, and clear provenance to reduce disputes and build trust

Continue ReadingTimelines That Don’t Lie: Date Your Claims
Signals Roundup: This Month’s 15 You Should See

Signals Roundup: This Month’s 15 You Should See

  • Post author:Filip Lapiński
  • Post published:January 31, 2026
  • Post category:Methods & Signals

15 Future Signals to Monitor Now for Strategic Advantage Monitor 15 high-impact future signals to spot opportunities, reduce risk, and act faster—use this

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Narrative Futures: Tell a Day‑in‑the‑Life

Narrative Futures: Tell a Day‑in‑the‑Life

  • Post author:Filip Lapiński
  • Post published:January 30, 2026
  • Post category:Methods & Signals

Designing a Future Day: A Practical Guide to Prototyping Tomorrow Create vivid, testable future-day scenarios that reveal risks and opportunities—practical

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Wild Cards vs. Black Swans: Know the Difference

Wild Cards vs. Black Swans: Know the Difference

  • Post author:Filip Lapiński
  • Post published:January 29, 2026
  • Post category:Methods & Signals

Wild Cards vs. Black Swans: Spotting, Preparing, and Acting for Unlikely Futures Learn how to differentiate wild cards and black swans, detect signals earl

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Assumption Busting: A Weekly Ritual

Assumption Busting: A Weekly Ritual

  • Post author:Filip Lapiński
  • Post published:January 28, 2026
  • Post category:Methods & Signals

Running a Weekly Assumption-Testing Ritual for Future Planning Turn uncertain futures into actionable learning: set a weekly ritual to test top assumptions

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Premortems for Policy and Product

Premortems for Policy and Product

  • Post author:Filip Lapiński
  • Post published:January 24, 2026
  • Post category:Methods & Signals

How to Run Effective Premortems for Future-Proof Policies and Products Learn a practical premortem workflow to surface realistic failures, convert them int

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How to Run a Delphi in Public

How to Run a Delphi in Public

  • Post author:Filip Lapiński
  • Post published:January 23, 2026
  • Post category:Methods & Signals

How to Run a Public Delphi for Future Forecasting Run a public Delphi to gather diverse expert forecasts, clarify uncertainty, and produce actionable insig

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